I don't see why Eric says my figures are 'cursory'.  The picture is quite
clear - there was something of a peak in 1997 and a higher one in 2001,
since when it has declined (draw the graph!)

Sally

Sally Morris, Chief Executive
Association of Learned and Professional Society Publishers
South House, The Street, Clapham, Worthing, West Sussex BN13 3UU, UK
Tel:  +44 (0)1903 871 686
Fax:  +44 (0)1903 871 457
Email:  sally.morris@alpsp.org
----- Original Message -----
From: "Eric Hellman" <eric@OPENLY.COM>
To: <SERIALST@LIST.UVM.EDU>
Sent: Monday, October 31, 2005 7:18 PM
Subject: [SERIALST] rate of launch of new OA journals

> At 6:26 PM +0000 10/31/05, Sally Morris (ALPSP) wrote:
>>Actually, there is a decline in the rate of launch of new OA journals;
>>look at the start dates in the DOAJ list
>>
>>Sally
>
> I looked at the data, and Sally's conclusions are cursory, as they neglect
> to consider the age of journals when they are added to DOAJ. Older OA
> journals are much more likely to be represented in DOAJ.
>
> Here is the data on start date for journals in DOAJ in september of 2005:
> year #total #added 9/2005
> 1980 4
> 1981 4
> 1982 2 1
> 1983 4
> 1984 1
> 1985 1
> 1986 3
> 1987 1
> 1988 3
> 1989 1
> 1990 9 1
> 1991 7
> 1992 10
> 1993 21
> 1994 28
> 1995 64
> 1996 105 5
> 1997 152 4
> 1998 132 2
> 1999 109 3
> 2000 203 9
> 2001 244 1
> 2002 204 7
> 2003 199 9
> 2004 170 13
> 2005 89 23
>
> The data are consistent with a constant rate of OA journal starts since
> 2000 along with a lag of over a year before the journals are recognized as
> meriting inclusion in DOAJ.
>
> Eric
> --
>
> Eric Hellman, President                            Openly Informatics,
> Inc.
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